| dc.description.abstract | This research aims to evaluate the economic feasibility of the deployment and operation of the production ethanol distilleries, in small-scale, based on the experiences of Candido Godoi and Ijuí countys, RS, Brazil. Adopted as the research strategy the Multiple Case Study. Regarding the methodological procedures, we sought to evaluate the economic viability using traditional instrumental analysis of economic projects with the construction of a cash flow, determination of economic indicators like NPV and IRR. For the formulation of the cash flow, were built on the information collected on visits and interviews. After the evaluation of viability, were determined limits of possible future prices of ethanol for following years: 2015, 2020, 2025 and 2030, considering three possible formations: 1) Formation 1: with maximum prices of ethanol, 2) Formation 2, with average prices ethanol and 3) Formation 3, with minimum prices. For the preparation of each formation we used two criteria. The first considered the growth rate of oil price for forecasts in 2030 by applying the price of ethanol R$ 1,082 in December 2010. For the second criterion ethanol prices were estimated taking into account the average annual price for the 3 January 2012 to 28 December 2012 period. The main findings show that there is no positive financial return on the projects. The greatest costs relate to raw material and the incidence of the tax burden. The prices that enable all the cash flows generated are R$ 2.40 and R$ 3.20, for Formation 1, and R$ 2.00, for Formation 2, considering criterion 2. Regarding the first criterion the only value that enables the projects refers to the price of 2015 (R$ 2.50), all the other values do not allow their own feasibility, for directing a rejection to make the necessary investments to implement of ethanol microdistilleries. | en |
